Will Shiba Inu SHIB reach $1 by 2030?

Founded under the pseudonym “Ryoshi” in August 2020, the SHIBA INU token, or SHIB, has quickly morphed into a crypto sensation. An Ethereum-based token, it champions the decentralization narrative, rallying a broad global audience to its fold. By September 17, 2021, Coinbase, a prominent U.S. crypto exchange, had added Shiba Inu to its listing, which consequently pumped its value by 40% within 48 hours.

However, a pivotal query has arisen: Can this meme-inspired token touch the $1 mark by 2030?

Shiba Inu’s Evolution: A Quick Recap

Created by an anonymous individual, Ryoshi, the SHIBA INU token rode the wave of popular endorsements from the likes of Elon Musk and Vitalik Buterin. While many speculated Buterin’s role in its inception, he cleared the air on the Lex Fridman podcast aired on June 5, 2021. The ShibaSwap, the token’s dedicated decentralized exchange, has played a vital role in its growth.

In October 2021, murmurs about a potential Robinhood listing pushed SHIB’s price, even temporarily overtaking Dogecoin in market capitalization. Though a listing on Robinhood remains elusive, Christine Brown of Robinhood acknowledged the Shiba Inu community’s spirited efforts.

Another noteworthy chapter in SHIB’s journey was when Vitalik Buterin burned a significant chunk of his SHIB share, which he had received from Ryoshi. This act, coupled with his charitable donations using the token, carved a distinctive narrative for SHIBA INU in the crypto landscape.

What Sets SHIBA INU Apart?

The SHIBA INU ecosystem isn’t just about its primary token. It’s also fostering an “artistic Shiba movement” in the NFT sector. The objective, according to the platform, is twofold: establishing a decentralized organization sans central leadership and introducing SHI, an algorithmic stablecoin pegged at one cent.

In December 2021, the American electronics vendor, Newegg, ushered SHIB into its payment methods, highlighting the growing merchant adoption of the token. Moreover, efforts like the SHIB burn party by Bigger Entertainment last Christmas signals an active community trying to manipulate the token’s supply and, potentially, its price.

The SHIB Supply Dynamic

The SHIBA INU platform locked 50% of its token supply on Uniswap, and the rest was “gifted” to Buterin, who later burned 40% of the total tokens. The platform also features other tokens like LEASH and BONE, each with its unique attributes and utilities.

On May 10, 2021, SHIB reached its ATH of 0.00005. A contributing factor was when Buterin, in an unforeseen move, donated a significant amount of his tokens for COVID relief in India.

Looking Ahead: Can SHIB Reach $1 by 2030?

Forecasting if SHIB could attain a value of $1 by 2030 necessitates an examination of myriad factors. This includes its current circulating supply, scheduled and potential burn events, overarching market conditions, and the evolution and expansion of its ecosystem.

Current Numbers Breakdown:

Total burnt from initial supply: 410,658,540,184,213

Max Total Supply: 999,983,856,519,899

Current Total Supply: 589,341,459,815,786

Circulating Supply: 579,724,727,441,499

Putting it into Perspective:

Currently, there’s a whopping 600 trillion SHIB coins in circulation. To understand the scale of this, consider that the entire US stock market cap stands at approximately $46 trillion.

For SHIB to reach $1, its total market cap would need to hit $600 trillion, which is over ten times the combined valuation of all U.S. stocks. This scenario, on its face, seems implausible.

Although Shiba Inu is ramping up its token burn strategy to reduce the circulating supply, the numbers still present challenges. Even if an ambitious 99% of the current circulating supply were to be burned, SHIB’s market cap would hover around $6 trillion. This would be double the market cap of tech giant Apple, currently the world’s most valuable company.

In conclusion, while the Shiba Inu community is passionate and the token continues to gain traction, reaching a $1 valuation by 2030 would require unprecedented market shifts.

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VanEck Research Predicts Ethereum Price to Reach $11.8k by 2030

The comprehensive evaluation on Ethereum (ETH) by VanEck Research, led by Matthew Sigel, the Head of Digital Assets Research, and Patrick Bush, Senior Investment Analyst, Digital Assets, has revised the price target for Ethereum to $11.8k by 2030, following Ethereum’s hard fork. This revision is due to a more precise valuation model that took into account a variety of revenue streams and market dynamics associated with Ethereum’s ecosystem. The analysis was originally disclosed in a detailed blog post on May 9, 2023, and reposted on X (formerly Twitter) recently. It utilizes a combination of cash flow projections and fully diluted valuation (FDV) calculations.

Ethereum’s revenue model was likened to a digital mall that houses various internet commerce activities. The valuation considered the revenues from transaction fees, MEV (Miner Extractable Value), and an emerging revenue stream termed “Security as a Service” (SaaS). The revenue projections see Ethereum’s network revenues soaring from an annual rate of $2.6 billion to $51 billion in 2030, assuming a dominant market share of 70% among smart contract protocols.

The transaction revenue estimation is centered on the “market capture” of smart contract platforms in various business sectors like Finance, Banking, Payments (FBP), Metaverse, Social and Gaming (MSG), and Infrastructure (I). The analysis suggests a shift in the relationship between platform and business revenues over time as off-chain businesses deploy on-chain to reduce costs and seek new revenues.

MEV, profits derived from transaction ordering within each produced block, was acknowledged as an integral part of blockchain’s security mechanism. The analysis assumes a direct relationship between MEV and the value of all assets hosted on Ethereum, approximating a “management fee” for keeping value on Ethereum. The L2 (Layer 2) settlement dynamics are seen as the long-term scaling solution for executing transactions on Ethereum, with most revenue from L2s eventually accruing to Ethereum.

A novel revenue item, “Security as a Service” (SaaS), was introduced, conceptualizing Ethereum’s security exportability to back outside ecosystems, applications, and protocols. This burgeoning use case for ETH is anticipated to grow, although it remains uncertain to predict.

The base case scenario projects an ETH price of $11,848 by 2030, discounted to $5,359.71 as of April 30, 2023, at a 12% cost of capital. This base case assumes Ethereum becoming the dominant open-source global settlement network hosting significant portions of commercial activity across various business sectors. The bear and bull case scenarios provide a wider range of price targets, acknowledging the uncertainties surrounding Ethereum’s future performance.

The extensive analysis by VanEck Research provides a clear valuation methodology for Ethereum and explores its potential as a store-of-value asset in the evolving crypto landscape, in addition to its transactional and protocol utility.

Recently, VanEck announced the launch of its Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT), an actively managed fund aimed at capital appreciation through investments in Ethereum futures contracts, rather than direct investments in digital assets. The fund will primarily engage with ETH futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, under the stewardship of Greg Krenzer, the Head of Active Trading at VanEck. This initiative mirrors VanEck’s existing Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF), with both funds focusing on digital asset futures contracts. By adhering to a C-Corp structure, EFUT and XBTF may provide a tax-efficient advantage for long-term investors.

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