ETH Price Set to Rally as Institutional Capital Flows into Ethereum

The ETH price has rallied following the launch of CME Ethereum futures contracts yesterday, rising over 9% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading slightly under its new all-time high of $1780. Will the Ether price keep rising? 

A new report from CoinShares indicates that institutions were aggressively accumulating ETH in the lead up to the launch of Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Ethereum futures contracts on Feb. 8.

Ethereum price rallied after the GME contracts launched, posting a new all-time high of $1,780 on Feb. 9.—which came to the surprise of many who had expected Ether to plunge in a similar fashion to BTC after the launch of CME’s Bitcoin futures in 2017.

Crypto asset manager CoinShares has reported that of the $245 million in institutional investment into cryptocurrency that took place last week, 80% of it went into Ethereum in one form or another—around $195 million.

In addition, Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust has been growing in terms of the total share of the AUM figure and has now reached over $5 billion which equates to over 15%.

Bitcoin which is also enjoying new ATHs around $48,000 remains the most popular hedge and Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust still contains the lion’s share of all investments, with 82% of the total AUM.

With institutional and retail interest in Ethereum and crypto also at an all-time high what can we expect from the Ether price?

Ether Price Analysis

According to the 4-hour price trend change chart, the current Ethereum price is moving in a steeper ascending channel, and the price of the recent 4-hour candlestick chart closed over the 9 –day MA as well as above the moving average ribbon, which also helps to confirm a rising price trend. 

Source: 4-hour Ether/USD 

At the same time, the recent Moving Average lines that are forming in steeper patterns also aid in confirming an uptrend. However, the recently overall four-hour transaction volume for Ether did not exceed the overall upward transaction volume in early January, so the price in the short-term shows no sign of a breakout above the pressure line of the ascending channel. The Ether price will most likely oscillate and rise in the steeper ascending channel, and the Ethereum price will break through $1850. 

Source: 4-hour Ether/USD

According to the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (Stoch RSI) indicator—at present, both the fast K line (blue) and the slow D line (orange) are above 80, and it seems that Ethereum is in an overbought state. Empirically speaking, when the market is oversold, traders tend to buy, indicating that it continues to be bullish or shows an upward trend.Ethereum was last trading at $1753 according to CoinMarketCap just $27 dollars below its recently set ATH. 

GameStop, Dogecoin and Crypto: Making Sense of The Wild Current Financial News

Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past week, you’ve heard about the exploits of a rag-tag group of Reddit traders who have upended the status quo of Wall Street.

I’ve been watching these events unfold from Dubai with equal parts wonder and glee. As a professional investor, the absurdity of both Wall Street and Reddit is apparent.

From the crush of Gamestop investors to the meteoric rise of Dogecoin (one-time joke crypto based on a meme), one thing is clear: we’re in uncharted territory. Here’s my take on where we go from here.

Wall Street Got (Deservedly) Screwed…And Made Things Worse

Everyone with even modest exposure to high finance knows that the professionals can access better information and more sophisticated strategies than any small-time retail investor. Investing, on balance, is anything but a level playing field.

For too long, the elites have assumed that the little guys will simply follow their lead and provide liquidity when needed. Of course, it’s never wise to bet on asymmetrical information in the long-run. Eventually, people catch on and set up their own “gotcha” moment.

All is fair in love, war, and investing, and if Wall Street had taken its licks and gone back to business as usual, I’m willing to be that the story would have been forgotten in the next news cycle.

That isn’t what happened. Instead, Wall Street decided to take the cry baby approach and move the goalposts when they lost. This move didn’t go unnoticed, and chaos understandably ensued.

And The Pendulum Swings

Naturally, the response from people, pundits, and politicians was swift and overwhelming. The masses deepened their distrust of Wall Street and gained newfound confidence in their ability to (seemingly) move the markets.

The problem here is that chaos thrives in the presence of irrational exuberance, and things get out of hand. Somehow, the GameStop Redditors’ machinations have morphed into a bull market for Dogecoin (literally a joke cryptocurrency). Adding fuel to the fire are people like Elon Musk, who have demonstrated the ability to initiate massive moves in the market by merely changing a Twitter bio.

Now, we see trades that make the late 90s tech bubble look conservative. How does this play out? The same way it always does, with the little guy getting squeezed. Yes, David gave Goliath a very-much-deserved black eye. However, that doesn’t mean that he’s sparked a revolution.

How I See Things Playing Out

For the most part, history is a game of inches. Much like the markets, trends ebb and flow until they reach a tipping point. I believe that we’re witnessing one of these flow moments, and it will eventually subside. However, there are significant trends that can, and should, draw on going forward.

I’ve been a longstanding advocate of Bitcoin because it’s radically open and decentralized. The populist momentum that drove the pump and dump schemes behind Gamestop and Dogecoin will outlive the passions of the moment. Bitcoin, unlike many other cryptos, represents a reliable and fundamentally strong vehicle for a decentralized future.

The professional class of investors, of which I am undoubtedly a member, should also be mindful of history’s lessons. If the Trump years taught us anything, it’s that populist uprisings are both challenging to quell and damaging to the long-established status quo. Sometimes, the changes that they bring about are positive, but more often than not, they result in increased division and inequality.

If we want to see a more equitable and profitable future, Wall Street must move toward a more inclusive and fair model. If they continue to move the goalposts and play cry baby when their well-established tactics are used against them, they’re only going to deepen the divide.

I’ll be doing my part, continuing to support open and decentralized platforms like Bitcoin well into the future.  

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