Nobel Laureate Prof Banerjee – Applying RCT to Financial Inclusion

On the second day of the Asian Financial Forum (AFF), Prof Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee, the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences will deliver a keynote speech on financial inclusion. Banerjee won the esteemed prize along with fellow MIT economist and spouse Esther Duflo and Harvard Academic, Michael Kremer. What is Financial Inclusion?

Financial inclusion refers to making financial products and services accessible and practical for everyone regardless of the individual or businesses net worth or company size. According to the United Nations, financial inclusion is positioned prominently as an enabler of other development goals for its 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. 

Financial inclusion is a common theme for developing countries which house more than 90% of the world’s unbanked population. There is strong evidence that financial inclusion benefits poor populations by providing them access to credit and investment services and low-cost payment mechanisms and hence achieve financial self-reliance. According to data from the World Bank, some 1.7 billion people were unable to access a basic bank account in 2017. Often called inclusive finance—financial inclusion is an effort to remove barriers that exclude people from participating in financial services which could vastly improve their lives. Why listen to Prof Banerjee?

Economists have long theorized on and sought to implement initiatives to increase financial inclusion. What are some of the policy initiatives developing countries should adopt to drive financial reform? What effect have initiatives had thus far in facilitating this financial transformation?

At the AFF, Prof Banerjee will share his perspectives on these economic policy initiatives and discuss financial inclusion progress in developing countries, particularly in India.

Banerjee, Duflo and Kremer have been praised for their practical approach to their research. When the three economists were awarded the Nobel Prize for their pioneering research into the use of experimental approaches to fight global poverty, the Prize committee commended the trio for introducing, “a new approach to obtaining reliable answers.” The work of Banerjee and his Nobel Laureate team is considered to be instrumental in the utilization of randomized controlled trials to test the effectiveness of government policy interventions designed to alleviate poverty.

Breaking The Problem Down 

Randomized control trials (RCT) are experiments that are designed to isolate the influencing factors that a certain intervention or variable has on a result or event.

For a long period of time, RCT as a research tool was largely used only in fields such as biomedical sciences to gauge the effectiveness of various drugs. In the 90s, Banerjee, Duflo, and Kremer began to apply the technique to the field of economics. Kremer first applied RCT to study the impact that free meals and books were having on the education outcomes of Kenyan schools. Banerjee and Duflo conducted similar experiments in India and wrote extensively about the use of RCT for practical outcomes in their book Poor Economics which was published in 2011.

According to the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, the work of the economist trio that won them the Nobel prize has shown how poverty can be addressed by breaking it down into smaller and more precise questions in areas such as education and healthcare–making them more practically solvable. The press release said, “The research conducted by this year’s Laureates has considerably improved our ability to fight global poverty. In just two decades, their new experiment-based approach has transformed development economics which is now a flourishing field of research.”

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Partners with MIT to Research How Crypto Can Co-exist with the Dollar

The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston has partnered with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) to research the feasibility of cryptocurrencies co-existing with fiat currencies. As reported by the Boston Herald, the partnership will stir the two institutions to study the blockchain technology that enables cryptocurrencies to be traded.

Jim Cunha, Senior Vice President at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston says that the research the bank is pioneering will help the nation to stay ahead of the curve with its futuristic approach. The initiative as he noted will help to study and understand the cutting-edge technology that makes cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum to be so successful. Understanding this will help the Fed determine if government-backed currency can be dollars, cents and Bitcoin.

Cunha said, “We’re really trying to understand what the technology can offer and if it’s a path we’d like to go down, I liken it to the early days of the internet,”—An era filled with dissenting views as to the sustainability of the new technology.

Advocating for the Co-Existence of Cryptocurrency and Fiat

The Fed executive backed by Assistant Vice President Robert Bench believes there is a need to reassess the relevance of the dollar owing to its potential devaluation due to COVID-19.

The research proposition by the Boston Fed is further bolstered by the fact that Bitcoin (BTC) has never been hacked allaying fears of insecurity in the digital currency world. The underlying aim is to see if there can be a future where regulators will see cryptocurrencies and fiat as complementary and not necessarily as a threat to one another.

The Federal Reserve Bank has been proactive in the creation of a digital currency. Federal Reserve Board Governor Lael Brainaird has confirmed that the United States Federal Reserve is currently experimenting with blockchain and DLT in pursuit of its central bank digital currency (CBDC) or digital dollar. The Boston Fed research will serve as a complement to this bigger project.

With most United States agencies bullish on digital currencies, the North American country may be closer to achieving its ‘futuristic goal’ with respect to the integration of cryptocurrencies as noted by Jim Cunha.

MIT Sees Ethereum’s PoS as Game Changing Tech

Ranked sixth among the top 10 technological breakthroughs of 2022, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) views Ethereum’s proof of stake (PoS) consensus mechanism as a game-changer that will prompt the adoption of energy-saving technology. 

Per the announcement:

“Proof of stake offers a way to set up such a network without requiring so much energy. And if all goes as planned, Ethereum, which runs all sorts of applications in addition to the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, will transition to it in the first half of 2022. The shift has been projected to cut energy use by 99.95%.”

The MIT suggestes that Ethereum’s PoS framework would be instrumental in changing the narrative about cryptocurrencies using vast amounts of electricity. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) used more energy than Finland last year.

Ethereum 2.0, recently renamed to the consensus layer, was launched in December 2020 to transition a PoS framework from the current proof of work (PoW) consensus algorithm.

Since then, it has gained steam as more investments continue trickling in, given that the number of validators recently hit 300,000 and staked Ether crossed the 9.5 million mark. 

With “The Merge” slated for the second quarter of this year, MIT noted that Ethereum’s transition would become the centre stage of triggering energy-efficient technology even though other networks like Solana, Cardano, and Algorand are already using PoS blockchains. 

The report noted:

“With proof of stake, validators don’t have to vie against one another, spending big on energy and computing hardware. Instead, their cache, or stake, of cryptocurrency allows them to enter a lottery. Those who are chosen to gain the authority to verify a set of transactions (and so earn more cryptocurrency).”

The other top ten breakthrough technologies included Covid variant tracking, a long-lasting grid battery, artificial intelligence (AI) for protein folding, and malaria vaccine, per the MIT Review. 

Canadian Central Bank Partners with MIT for CBDC Research

The Bank of Canada- the Central Bank of Canada, announced Wednesday that it has partnered with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) to work on a twelve-month research project on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

The Bank will collaborate with the MIT Media Lab’s Digital Currency Initiative (DCI) team to examine how distributed ledger technology could affect the potential design of a CBDC, therefore building on the DCI’s ongoing research into CBDC. The exploration will assist in informing the Bank of Canada’s research effort into CBDC.

The project forms part of the Bank’s already task on more comprehensive research and development on digital currencies and fintech. The research project will focus on exploring and experimenting with potential technology approaches to determine how a CBDC could work.

Canada’s Central Bank mentioned that it would provide an update on the findings and outcomes at the end of the project period. However, the regulator said that it has not made a decision on whether to introduce a CBDC in Canada.

Pandemic Accelerating Canada’s CBDC Work

Early last year, Timothy Lane, the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, disclosed that the central bank had no plans to issue its own digital currency during that time. He, however, stated that that could change if cash usage declines significantly or private options like the Facebook-backed Diem or Bitcoin gain widespread adoption.

Last month, Lane said that the bank’s view remains unchanged. However, the Covid-19 pandemic has had an impact on cash usage, with both merchants and shoppers more hesitant to use paper money. The executive stated that since the pandemic has accelerated the transition to a digital economy, the Central Bank’s work to prepare for a possible digital currency-backed by the bank has also accelerated.

However, the deputy governor is less concerned with private digital currencies, stating that the likes of Bitcoin don’t have a plausible claim to become the money of the future. Mr. Lane further elaborated that cryptocurrencies are deeply flawed as methods of payment, associating them with illicit transactions like money laundering, and their purchasing power is wildly unstable.

In contrast, he stated that stablecoins could see widespread adoption for payments, but have not reached that point.

Bank of England Teams up with MIT on CBDC Research Project

To delve deeper into the opportunities, risks, trade-offs, and potential technical challenges faced when developing a CBDC system, the Bank of England (BoE) has joined hands Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) on a year-long research project. 

In a statement, the Bank of England pointed out that the project aimed to explore the underlying technology and not create an operational central bank digital currency (CBDC). Per the announcement:

“The collaboration forms part of the Bank’s wider ‘research and exploration’ into CBDC, and will be focused on exploration and experimentation of potential technology approaches.”

The partnership will involve England’s apex bank with the MIT Media Lab’s Digital Currency Initiative (DCI). 

The BoE follows in the footsteps of the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston as research partners with the DCI.

However, a decision has not been made on whether to roll out a CBDC in the United Kingdom, given that it would be a significant national infrastructural project.

The financial regulator recently announced the first regulatory framework for crypto assets based on their rapid growth.

CBDCs have emerged as a hot topic in the modern era based on the technological innovations being witnessed in the financial system.

Hiromi Yamaoka, a former Bank of Japan executive, recently suggested that the sanctions slapped on Russia due to its invasion of Ukraine might prompt more nations to adopt CBDCs as a shield against the U.S. dollar’s supremacy in the global financial system.

Yamaoka added that national security and defence would become key issues when discussing CBDCs. 

Earlier this month, the University of Cambridge, through the Cambridge Centre of Alternative Finance (CCAF), rolled out a multi-year research initiative with 16 key financial institutions like the WorldBank, IMF, and MasterCard to shed more light on the rapidly evolving crypto-asset ecosystem, with CBDCs being one of the areas of interest. 

Crypto.com Backs MIT's Digital Currency Initiative With a 4-Year Partnerhship

Singapore-based digital currency trading platform, Crypto.com, has announced the Digital Currency Initiative (DCI) support at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s (MIT) Media Lab.

As announced by the company, the support is a gift of a 4-year-based partnership whose monetary value was undisclosed. 

The backing will help foster the research into the Bitcoin network while also digging into the protocol’s security as well as its underlying innovations. Per the defined goals of the support, Crypto.com said the gift is “designed to support continuing research efforts into the stability of fee-based rewards and software to provide strong robustness and correctness guarantees.”

“MIT’s Digital Currency Initiative is playing a critical role in building a sustainable blockchain ecosystem, in particular by fortifying Bitcoin’s underlying protocol,” said Eric Anziani, Chief Operating Officer at Crypto.com. “We are excited to further support blockchain research across the globe with such an esteemed institution and help accelerate the world’s safe transition to using cryptocurrencies.”

The entire backing of research initiatives notably aligns with Crypto.com’s efforts in related moves, which it publishes on a monthly basis in collaboration with members of academia. The exchange’s focus on pushing forth blockchain and crypto innovation spans other universities beyond MIT. The trading platform also backs the “Secure Blockchain Initiative at Carnegie Mellon University, advancing on-chain safety.”

“Our research has shown over and over again that from Brazil to Australia, high-security standards are one of the top criteria for choosing crypto products,” added Dr. Henry Hon, Head of Research at Crypto.com, adding that  “DCI’s research focuses on the security of one of the most widely adopted coins on the planet, a goal we want to support.”

Over time, trading platforms have assumed to advance crypto education in a bid to foster massive mainstream adoption across the board. From the launch of its app in several languages, including Turkish, to the partnership with regional tech startups, Crypto.com has continued to play a forerunner role in digital currency adoption worldwide.

Jack Dorsey's Block Appoints MIT's Neha Narula to Board of Directors

Block, Inc. (NYSE: SQ), a global technology company with a focus on financial services, announced on July 27, 2023, the appointment of Neha Narula, Director of the Digital Currency Initiative at the MIT Media Lab, to its Board of Directors. This move further solidifies Block’s commitment to leveraging open source software and open protocols to transform the way people move money.

Narula, who has been serving as the Director of the Digital Currency Initiative at the MIT Media Lab since January 2017, brings a wealth of expertise in Bitcoin and open source technology to the board.

Prior to joining MIT, she held a position as a senior software engineer at Google. Narula also currently serves on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Innovation Advisory Council. Her academic credentials include a B.A. in Mathematics and Computer Science from Dartmouth College and a Master’s degree and a Ph.D. in Computer Science from MIT.

“I’ve long admired Block’s focus on building simple, cohesive products that empower people and communities to participate in the financial system,” said Narula. “We share core values around the power of open source software and the ability for open protocols to transform the way people move money. I’m honored and excited to join Block’s board of directors and contribute to the company’s purpose of economic empowerment.”

Block’s Head and Chairman, Jack Dorsey, expressed his enthusiasm about Narula’s appointment, stating, “Neha’s expertise in Bitcoin and open source technology is a great addition to our Board. Neha’s passion for building intuitive, scaled systems to move money across the Internet efficiently fits into our company’s purpose, and we’re excited to have her join our team.”

Block, Inc., formerly known as Square, Inc., is composed of Square, Cash App, Spiral, TIDAL, and TBD. The company is dedicated to creating tools that expand access to the economy. Its integrated ecosystem of commerce solutions, business software, and banking services helps sellers run and grow their businesses.

With Cash App, anyone can easily send, spend, or invest their money in stocks or Bitcoin. Spiral builds and funds free, open-source Bitcoin projects, while TIDAL provides a platform for musicians and their fans to connect more deeply. TBD is building an open developer platform to make it easier to access Bitcoin and other blockchain technologies without having to go through an institution.

Narula’s appointment to the board is expected to further enhance Block’s mission of economic empowerment through the use of open source software and open protocols.

Harvard's Breakthrough in Quantum Computing: A Leap Towards Error-Correction and Noise Reduction

There has been a substantial advancement in quantum computing, which was disclosed by a group of researchers from Harvard University, in conjunction with QuEra Computing Inc., the University of Maryland, and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) of the United States of America has provided funding for the development of a one-of-a-kind processor that has been designed with the intention of overcoming two of the most major problems in the field: noise and mistakes.

Noise that affects qubits (quantum bits) and causes computational mistakes has been a significant obstacle for quantum computing, which has been confronting this difficulty for quite some time. In the process of improving quantum computer technology, this has proven to be a significant obstacle. Since the beginning of time, quantum computers that contain more than one thousand qubits have been needed to do enormous amounts of error correction. This is the issue that has prevented these computers from being widely used.

In a ground-breaking research that was published in the peer-reviewed scientific journal Nature, the team that was lead by Harvard University disclosed their strategy for addressing these concerns. They came up with the idea of logical qubits, which are collections of qubits that are linked together by quantum entanglement for communication purposes. In contrast to the conventional method of error correction, which relies on duplicate copies of information, this technique makes use of the inherent redundancy that is present in logical qubits.

A quantity of 48 logical qubits, which had never been accomplished previously, was used by the team in order to effectively perform large-scale computations on an error-corrected quantum computer. By proving a code distance of seven, which indicates a stronger resilience to quantum errors, this was made achievable by constructing and entangling the biggest logical qubits that have ever been created. Therefore, this was made practicable.

In order to construct the processor, thousands of rubidium atoms were separated in a vacuum chamber, and then they were chilled to a temperature that was very close to absolute zero using lasers and magnets. 280 of these atoms were converted into qubits and entangled with the help of additional lasers, which resulted in the creation of 48 logical qubits. Rather of utilizing wires, these qubits communicated with one another via the use of optical tweezers.

When compared to previous bigger machines that are based on physical qubits, this new quantum computer demonstrated a far lower rate of mistakes during computations. Instead of fixing mistakes that occur during computations, the processor used by the Harvard team incorporates a post-processing error-detection phase. During this phase, erroneous outputs are discovered and discarded. This is an expedited approach for scaling quantum computers beyond the current age of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ), which is currently in effect.

As a result of this accomplishment, new opportunities for quantum computing have become available. The achievement is a big step toward the development of quantum computers that are scalable, fault-tolerant, and capable of addressing problems that have traditionally been intractable. Specifically, the study highlights the possibility for quantum computers to conduct computations and combinatorics that are not conceivable with the technology that is now available in the field of computer science. This opens an altogether new avenue for the advancement of quantum technology.

MIT Study Challenges AI Job Displacement Fears

A recent study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has provided a fresh perspective on the ongoing debate about artificial intelligence (AI) replacing human jobs. Contrary to popular belief, the study reveals that human labor remains more cost-effective than AI in a majority of job roles, particularly in tasks requiring visual processing.

The research, a collaboration between MIT, IBM, and the Productivity Institute, surveyed workers across various sectors to determine the capabilities needed for computers to perform their tasks. The study then assessed the costs of developing and implementing such AI systems, comparing them to human salaries. The findings are significant: only about 23% of worker wages being paid for vision tasks would be attractive to automate with current AI technology. In essence, AI systems, especially those involving computer vision, are presently too expensive to replace employees in over three-quarters of the jobs considered.

The MIT study, supported by the MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, analyzed over 1,000 visually assisted tasks across 800 different occupations. The data shows that currently, only 3% of these tasks can be economically automated. Even with a projected 20% annual reduction in AI system costs, it would still take decades for AI to become more economically advantageous than human labor in most companies. Moreover, AI’s high power consumption and significant implementation challenges further limit its current viability as a replacement for human workers.

One of the key findings is that AI struggles with tasks requiring implicit knowledge, intuition, or gut instinct – capabilities deeply ingrained in human cognition and critical to many job roles. While AI is expected to impact specific sectors like banking, marketing, healthcare, and transportation due to the repetitive nature of tasks in these fields, its ability to replace human labor entirely seems exaggerated, at least for now.

The study’s implications go beyond economic considerations, touching on broader societal impacts such as workforce retraining and policy development. It highlights the potential for AI to create new job categories focused on managing, maintaining, and improving AI systems, as well as roles where human skills are irreplaceable by AI. This could lead to the emergence of new business models, including AI-as-a-Service platforms, democratizing access to AI technologies for smaller businesses and organizations.

In conclusion, the MIT study suggests a more gradual integration of AI into various sectors, contrasting with the often hypothesized rapid AI-driven job displacement. It calls for a more systematic evaluation of the feasibility of adopting new technologies in industries, factoring in the economic and practical limitations of AI systems.

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