Bitcoin’s Scarcity Feature Makes the Crypto an Aspirational Store of Value for Investors, says Fidelity Digital Assets

Fidelity Digital Assets, the crypto arm of investment firm Fidelity Investments found in its new report that many investors consider Bitcoin to be an “aspirational store of value”. The firm believes that the largest cryptocurrency has the properties of a store of value but has yet to be widely adopted.

Fidelity Digital Assets was launched in 2018 and has since set up Bitcoin custody and trading services for institutional clients.

In Fidelity’s most recent report, scarcity was mentioned as one of the key characteristics in reference to a good store of value for protecting against the depreciation of value in the longer term. With Bitcoin’s finite supply, it makes the cryptocurrency an aspirational store of value.

Low interest rates and global monetary and fiscal stimulus may have fueled the rate of awareness and adoption of cryptocurrencies. The United States recently offered its second stimulus check for COVID-19 economic relief. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has announced that the second stimulus payment is set to be administered in August.

With the excess money printing due to stimulus checks being paid out by US government, Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss advocated in a recent public tweet that Bitcoin is the way to go, and should definitely be invested in. He explained that with the US Federal Reserve’s plan of mass printing money, the “stage for Bitcoin’s next bull run is set.” 

Fidelity argued that Bitcoin’s most novel innovations its unforgeable digital scarcity: 

“Investors believe this property is foundational in understanding and appreciating Bitcoin. Before Bitcoin, multiple investors made important contributions in the quest to achieve digital scarcity, but were unsuccessful in enforcing it.”

60% of institutional investors said they could invest in crypto

Fidelity Digital Assets surveyed 774 institutional investors across the United States and Europe, and 80 percent of those who were surveyed found something appealing about digital assets.

The research was conducted from November 2019 to early March 2020 and is the second consecutive year that Fidelity Digital Assets has conducted this survey for US institutional investors and the first for European investors. 

60 percent of the institutional investors surveyed believe that digital assets have a place in their investment portfolio. 

Over a quarter of institutional investors surveyed by Fidelity Digital Assets are holding Bitcoin, while 11 percent have exposure to Ethereum.

36 percent of respondents, including 27 percent from the US and 45 percent from Europe say that they are currently investing in digital assets.

Do I need to Buy One Whole Bitcoin? 3 BTC Questions I’m Tired of Answering

“No, you don’t need to buy a whole Bitcoin.”

As someone who writes about blockchain and crypto I often find myself answering the same questions over and over again to friends and people I meet, about Bitcoin.

In no particular order, I am most commonly asked the three questions below:

Why is Bitcoin worth anything?
Am I too late to buy Bitcoin?
It’s too expensive, do I need to buy a whole Bitcoin?

The short answers to these are:

Scarcity, Sentiment, Mathematics.
No.
No, you don’t need to buy a whole Bitcoin.

At the moment, swarms of new people are taking notice of the immense gains being made in the Bitcoin and crypto space as announcements of new BTC price highs, institutional adoption and mainstream acceptance continue to permeate news in 2020.

However, the types of questions listed above, reveal a broad misunderstanding common amongst people who unlike myself and my peers are not standing knee-deep in the digital assets industry. Cryptocurrency is still a new and frightening technology to many, and big changes are difficult for people to cope with—particularly a change that may potentially alter our core financial system—and Bitcoin is still hopelessly misunderstood.

Why is Bitcoin worth anything?

This is perhaps the most difficult question to answer because it often creates a very long conversation about what gives anything value? As in my short answer above, simply put Bitcoin is an asset with mathematically proven value and scarcity and BTC’s short term price gains are often tracked to sentiment in the markets.

A real consideration of what makes something valuable can be mind-blowing and could cause a person to tumble down a philosophical rabbit hole that most people have not really ventured far into before.

The factors that make an asset valuable can range from spiritual importance to their utility, but often throughout history, forms of value have been mostly connected to scarcity—which is why things that are difficult to acquire or mine like gold, silver, and diamonds have high value in our society.

There are interesting examples of this throughout history. For example, in the Napoleonic era, aluminum was seen as far more valuable than gold as it was scarcer and more difficult to acquire at the time. Napoleon’s crown was even made from aluminum to highlight his supreme power as Emperor, but, by today’s standards, the prospect of aluminum being more valuable than gold is quite absurd.

Where this gets confusing for people is the value underlying Bitcoin—rather than relying on physical properties like gold or silver, or relying on trust in a central authority, Bitcoin is backed by mathematics.

Bitcoin has real scarcity. BTC is created at a decreasing and predictable rate, with the number of new Bitcoins created each year undergoing an automated halving every four years, effectively halving the BTC mining rewards for ownership of the block. This process will continue until the total 21 million Bitcoins that will ever exist have been mined from the blockchain—which is predicted to be completed by 2140.

Bitcoin has value because it has utility as a form money, a store of value, and is a unit of measurement. Bitcoin has all the characteristics of money—durability, portability, fungibility, scarcity, divisibility, and recognizability. With these attributes, all that is required for a form of money to hold value is trust and adoption.

In the case of Bitcoin, this can be measured by its growing base of users, merchants, and startups. As with all currency, bitcoin’s value comes only and directly from people willing to accept them as payment.

Throughout much of its history, the value of Bitcoin has been driven primarily by speculative interest. Bitcoin has exhibited characteristics of a bubble with drastic price run-ups and a craze of media attention which also creates tension with those looking to enter the crypto space. This is likely to continue to decline as Bitcoin continues to see greater mainstream adoption.

Am I too late to Buy Bitcoin?

So are you too late to Bitcoin? At $13,000, how much more could the BTC price improve?

This question also reveals a huge misconception from members of the non-crypto public— the belief that Bitcoin has already done its dash and that they have missed the boat. What if I told you there was still time to get in on Bitcoin, and many respected and celebrated asset managers are still reporting that this is just the beginning?

According to Wall Street legend and billionaire Paul Tudor Jones, who made headlines when he revealed he was buying bitcoin to hedge against inflation earlier this year, it is not too late at all to get in on Bitcoin.

Speaking to CNBC’s Squawkbox just last week, Jones said:

“Bitcoin has a lot of characteristics of being an early investor in a tech company […] I think we are in the first inning of Bitcoin, it’s got a long way to go.”

Jones is not the only one betting on the Bitcoin price increasing in years to come.

PayPal made headlines recently announcing a move on Bitcoin, and other institutions including MicroStrategy, Square, and Stone Ridge Asset Management have all invested in Bitcoin, some even noted that BTC has become part of its treasury investment strategy.

Raoul Pal, the CEO of Real Vision Group, and a wall street veteran believes that Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2025, according to his model. His prediction was backed by regression on a log chart since Bitcoin’s inception, allowing him to analyze the Bitcoin price projection based on its past performance.

Raoul Pal who is also the former head of sales at Goldman Sachs’ hedge fund previously also said that he believes that Bitcoin will be the best performing asset in the next two years—he previously mentioned that Bitcoin could rally to $100,000, and even $1 million, which he reasserted recently.

Bloomberg’s latest report also predicted that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 in 2025, saying that Bitcoin has a history of adding zeros to its price.

JPMorgan also believes that Bitcoin would have a good chance of increasing its price, according to a recent report. The investment bank said that the digital currency could continue to surge as it competes with gold as an “alternative” currency. When comparing gold to Bitcoin, JPMorgan noted that the physical gold market, including gold ETFs, is worth $2.6 trillion. Bitcoin would need to surge at least 10 times from its current levels to catch up to gold in terms of market value.

JPMorgan added:

“Even a modest crowding out of gold as an ‘alternative’ currency over the longer term would imply doubling or tripling of the Bitcoin price.”

With experts far more qualified than myself supporting this argument, and the rising adoption of Bitcoin, higher prices seem inevitable and we do appear to just be scratching the surface.

Do I need to Buy a Whole Bitcoin?

No, you don’t need to buy a whole Bitcoin.

It is my personal suspicion, that a misunderstanding about how much Bitcoin must be purchased to enter the market is perhaps one of the most solvable issues that is hindering public adoption. This misunderstanding is also, I suspect, responsible in part for seeing a pump in various altcoin prices, as altcoins often provide investors an affordable way to get into the cryptocurrency markets in whole units—which they may initially think they need to see any value or ROI.

There is so much emphasis placed on how much “one” Bitcoin is worth across the industry, that new users often come in to BTC investment thinking that if they want to get in, that they will have to immediately be able to spend $13,000 (at time of writing) to buy a whole Bitcoin. But actually, that isn’t the case – it’s possible to buy a half of a Bitcoin, a quarter of a Bitcoin or even a fraction of a percent of a Bitcoin.

One Bitcoin has a much larger degree of divisibility than a US dollar, as well as most other fiat currencies. While the dollar can be divided into cents, or 1/100 of 1 USD, a Bitcoin is divided into “Satoshis” which are just 1/100,000,000 of 1 BTC. It is this extreme divisibility which also makes bitcoin’s scarcity possible.

Some exchanges offer minimum Bitcoin purchases as low as $10 USD for you to get started, and when I tell my friend’s this, it often invites one final question—How much BTC do I need then?

0.0028 BTC

As mentioned above, the smallest unit of Bitcoin is 0.00000001 BTC, with this lowest unit called a Satoshi, after the pseudonymous developer behind the cryptocurrency.

As the Bitcoin supply is capped at 21 million BTC, should the future of Bitcoin come to pass, and the premier crypto becomes the core of our global financial system—anyone with 1 BTC will be among the 21 million richest people in the world.

Around 18.5 million Bitcoin have been mined, which is about 87% of the total BTC supply. The remaining 2.5 million will become exponentially more difficult to produce over the next 120 years.

The divisibility of Bitcoin could allow for quadrillions of individual units of Satoshis to be distributed throughout a global economy. So how much do you need? In simple mathematics, you just need to divide the entire BTC supply by the global population.

With roughly 7.5 Billion people, means 21,000,000 BTC /7,500,000,000 = 0.0028 BTC. The likelihood of everyone having this small amount is not great either, as a lot of the circulating supply is held by investors and whales, some of them already holding thousands of whole Bitcoins.

However, at the time of writing, a meager $100 investment into BTC will get you around 0.0076 BTC or 760,000 Satoshis. This is three times what the general person could hold in future if all BTC were able to be divided equally, which it will not be.

So if you believe that Bitcoin has value, and want to get some skin in the crypto game, I recommend to you, as I do with all my friends, that you just start with a $100 USD and continue to stack your wallet when possible.

After the initial purchase of $100 USD in Bitcoin, you’ve already added a potentially vast amount of wealth to your family’s financial future, and any BTC you add to this will just be the icing on the cake.  

Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd Says Bitcoin Price Should Rise to $400,000

As Bitcoin trades at a fresh record high above $20,000, Scott Minerd, Global Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Investments, believes that the true value and scarcity of the leading cryptocurrency means that the BTC price still has the potential to continue rising exponentially.

In an interview with Bloomberg Television on Wednesday, December 16, Minerd said that Bitcoin’s scarcity together with the frequent money printing by the U.S Federal Reserve implies that the cryptocurrency would eventually increase its value to about $400,000. Minerd remarks came the same day when Bitcoin price reached $20,000 for the first time, thus bringing its gain in this year to 190%.

Minerd said:

“Our fundamental work shows that Bitcoin should be worth about $400,000. It’s based on the scarcity and relative valuation such as things like gold as a percentage of GDP. So, you know, Bitcoin actually has a lot of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual value in terms of transactions.”

Guggenheim Investments is one of the several institutional investors that have embraced the crypto landscape. In the previous month, the global investment financial company reserved the right to invest up to 10% of its net asset value ($5.3 billion Macro Opportunities Fund) in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which solely invests in Bitcoin, thus enabling investors to gain exposure to BTC in form of a security while avoiding the challenges of purchasing, safekeeping, and storing Bitcoin directly.

Bitcoin Gains Greater Acceptance

This year, Bitcoin, the world’s best-known cryptocurrency, has increased its value to new records, a phenomenon that has attracted a growing number of investors who have backed it as an alternative to other assets. In the last 24 hours alone the Bitcoin price has gained almost 10% and BTC is valued at $21,312 according to CoinMarketCap at the time of writing. 

Just like Minerd, some Bitcoin advocates including famous macro investor Paul Tudor Jones have also stated similar sentiments. Earlier this year, Paul Tudor Jones said that he has been purchasing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation that he sees coming from Central Bank money printing and muted rise of consumer prices. Galaxy Digital’s Mike Novogratz also stated that the cryptocurrency can assist in protecting against macro risks. 

Ethereum Price Gains 45% in 24 hours, What’s Driving the ETH Price Rally?

The Ethereum price has made its largest single-day price gain in the crypto’s history, surging 45% in the last 24 hours, but what is behind the ETH price rally?

Ethereum, the second-largest coin by market cap, today broke past $1152 hours after the markets had opened in Asia. The ETH price is currently $1050 according to CoinMarketCap and is still around $400 dollars below Ethereum’s all-time high of $1,432, which the crypto price set in January 2018.

Ethereum’s incredible 24 hour price rally could likely be attributed to its growing utility within decentralized finance, support for NFTs and upgrades to the Ethereum network with the launch of POS on the beacon chain.

However similar to the crypto bull run of 2017, Ethereum’s performance could be the result of a recent upsurge of interest in Bitcoin, leaving investors searching for the best altcoin.

It appears that as the Bitcoin price continues to smash through resistance levels and rally ever higher—reaching it a new all-time high of $35,000 over the weekend—investors are now looking for the best alternative cryptocurrencies.

Crypto investor and CEO & Founder of Nugget’s News, Alex Saunders tweeted:

“When you witness $BTC go from $10k to $20k without a pullback, then pump to $34k all in a matter of weeks, can you blame those scrambling for sub $1400 $ETH right now? We watched in awe as #Bitcoin got repriced as an asset. That same process is about to be fast tracked for ETH…”

The 2017 crypto bull run also saw Ethereum surge to new heights following Bitcoin closing in on $20,000, a pattern that is eerily similar to ETH current price. The host of CNBC’s Crypto Trader Ran Neuner pointed out the similarity on Twitter:

“Is this an exact repeat of 2017? 18 December 2017, BTC hits ATH. ETH rallies/doubles from 18 Dec to 15 Jan.”

Alluding to the hunt for alternative cryptocurrency to Bitcoin, or Altcoin season. Neuner soon added:

“This is more or less the time all the “maximalists” start shilling ETH and all the guys that chart Bitcoin on Youtube start focussing on ETH. IN a week or so they start making ALT calls….”

Ethereum an Institutional Hedge

Two days before Ethereum charged to a new three year high, Bitcoin bull and Gemini digital exchange founder Cameron Winklevoss tweeted:

“$ETH was the best-performing asset (up 450%) of 2020 hands down and still below its all-time high. Today it’s the equivalent of 15K #Bitcoin I would take that bet all day long.”

Ethereum is the second-highest cryptocurrency by market cap, the total value of Ether is currently $125 billion according to CoinMarketCap. While the ETH price surge is getting a boost from Bitcoin’s astronomical bull run, another major factor appears to be attributed to the announcement that CME Group is launching ETH futures on February 8 as institutional demand for Ethereum’s cryptocurrency rises.

Further to its value as an institutional hedge is the successful implementation of EIP 1559 into the ETH 2.0 upgrade on Beacon Chain. The Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 1559 does two main things—it establishes the market rate for block inclusion and effectively burns the majority of the ETH in the transaction fee. This change to Ethereum’s gas management has significant implications to the monetary system and policy of Ethereum EIP 1559.

Burning the bulk of the ETH in transaction fees provide a deflationary mechanism to Ether’s supply, which adds to the scarcity of Ether and long-term security of Ethereum—which could potentially make it as effective a hedge against fiat currency inflation as Bitcoin is purported to be.

Ethereum Price Prediction

CEO & Founder of Nugget’s News, Alex Saunders is predicting a huge price increase in Ethereum based on the implementation of EIP 1559 in tandem with its surge in utility for DeFi. He tweeted:

“Many are excited that $100k $BTC is possible. It’s more exciting that $20k $ETH is possible.Outrageous price target? No. Previous cycle ratio peaks.#DeFi #dWeb #Gaming #NFTs #ETH2 #EIP1559”

Crypto investor Ryan Sean Adams also believes that “ETH price still hasn’t caught up to fundamentals.” He tweeted his prediction:

“$1k ETH is just a pitstop on the road to $10k”  

eToro Sees More Bitcoin Demands Than Supply, Set To Ration Bitcoin Sales

Popular social trading platform and cryptocurrency marketplace, eToro has noted that it has more demand for Bitcoin (BTC) than its current supply can support. The move has driven industry experts to believe that the cryptocurrency marketplace will begin to ration its Bitcoin sales, following an update sent by the platform to its users.

“The unprecedented demand for crypto, coupled with limited liquidity, presents challenges to our ability to support BUY orders over the weekend,” the Israeli-British company said in an email to customers. “In light of this, it may be necessary for us to place limitations on crypto BUY orders over the weekend.”

The shortage of Bitcoin to sell on the eToro platform comes following a month-long bullish run in the price of Bitcoin. As expected, the bullish run in the price of Bitcoin is a response to a massive accumulation of the premier cryptocurrency by investors around the world. While there have been intermittent dumps by many who seem to be taking profits as the coin traded above $42,000, many more bulls are accumulating the coin at a fast pace with expectations for even bigger surges in the near future.

The Role of Institutional Investors in Creating the Scarcity

The current dip in eToro’sBitcoin reserve may have been spurred by the continuous accumulation of the cryptocurrency by institutional investors who are beginning to embrace it as their reserve currency.

Amongst the most renowned of these big corporate investors is online payment giants PayPal and Square’s Cash App while business intelligence firm, MicroStrategy Incorporated also made a series of headlines with its bullish Bitcoin purchases. The latter firm has accumulated as much as 70,470 BTC at an average price of $15,964 according to an earlier report by Blockchain.News.

Other top institutions whose Bitcoin accumulation must have contributed to the BTC shortage include hedge funds Grayscale Capital and Tudor Investment Corp, backed by Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones.

Burnt Ethereum Edges Closer to a Billion-Dollar Value

After the London Hardfork or EIP 1559 upgrade went live on August 5, the first-ever deflationary block on the Ethereum network occurred because scarcity was introduced every time Ether was burnt after being used in transactions.

Market analyst Lark Davis disclosed that burnt Ethereum was inching closer to the billion-dollar mark. He explained:

“We’re almost at a billion dollars of Ethereum burnt due to EIP 1559. Thus there has been a billion less in sell pressure from miners. The economics of Ethereum is rocket fuel, and it will only intensify when The merge happens, and we switch from mine and dump to stake and save.”

The London Hardfork upgrade set a base fee for every transaction undertaken. Furthermore, it eliminated the use of other digital tokens for the payment of Ethereum fees. Only Eth was utilised, thus restoring the unique relevance of the ETH cryptocurrency.

Short-term ETH holding increases

According to data analytic firm IntoTheBlock:

“The number of ETH holders holding for under 30 days (traders) is at its highest since May with over 3.8m addresses buying in October. This seems to be led by retail as the amount of volume held by traders is “only” 19m ETH as opposed to 26m in May.”

It shows more users have been entering the Ethereum network.

Meanwhile, ETH’s development team continues to innovate and improve, given that Github’s submission rate hit a 4-month high. Github is a web-based platform used for version control. 

The total value locked in Ethereum layer two recently surged to $1 billion. Ethereum L2 is a scaling solution created to mitigate congestion on the network. As a result, decentralised applications (dapps) can avoid network congestion by utilising various technologies. 

The Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract, which went live in December 2020, is expected to boost scalability by offering a transition to a proof of stake (POS) consensus mechanism from the current proof of work (POW) framework. 

Ether’s Net Issuance Dropped from Over 4% to 0.21% Last Week

Ethereum (ETH) has enjoyed a rollercoaster ride this quarter by hitting historic highs in its 6-year journey.

The second-largest cryptocurrency based on market capitalization recently reached an all-time high (ATH) of $4,860, thanks to diminishing supply on its network.

Data analytic firm IntoTheBlock explained:

“A potential reason behind ETH rally is its decreasing supply. Since the deployment of EIP-1559, most of the Ether used as transaction fees has been burned or removed from circulation. Ether’s net issuance has dropped from over 4% to an average of just 0.21% this week.”

Ever since the London Hardfork or EIP 1559 upgrade went live on August 5, Ethereum has become deflationary because its value continues to increase with time on the foundation of slashed supply. 

This improvement introduced scarcity on the Ethereum network every time Ether is burnt after being utilized in transactions. Therefore, this upgrade was meant to eliminate the inflationary tendencies this network was accustomed to before.

The dividends seem to be paying off because Ether worth more than $3 billion has been burned so far, causing a supply deficit. 

The supply squeeze on the Ethereum network has been going through the roof based on a couple of reasons. For instance, more than 8 million ETH is locked in decentralized finance (DeFi), and at least 8.2 million ETH has been staked in Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract. 

Ethereum’s address activity surges by 48%

According to on-chain metrics provider Santiment:

“Ethereum’s latest address activity is up about 48% since the number of unique ETH addresses bottomed out in late September.”

This, coupled with the fact that the number of non-zero ETH addresses hit a record high, shows that more participants are joining the Ethereum network. 

Ethereum Scarcity Increases as Net Daily Issuance Hits a 2-Month Low

The daily net issuance in the Ethereum (ETH) network continues to drop, signifying a supply deficit.

Data analytic firm IntoTheBlock explained:

“ETH net daily issuance is dropping. after reaching a top on March 12 of 3.48%, the 7-day average net issuance has been around 2.21%. ETH has not had a negative net issuance day since January 10, but it reached a 2-month low on Tuesday of 0.87%.”

Source: IntoTheBlock

Ethereum issuance entails the available Ether on the network, given that it’s the difference between mined Ether and the one burned after being used in transactions. The burnt Ether mechanism was introduced after the London Hard Fork or EIP 1559 upgrade went live in August 2021.  

Therefore, a slip in Ethereum’s net daily issuance is bullish because it illustrates scarcity in the network, and depending on the demand available price is expected to increase.

The second-largest cryptocurrency was up by 1.5% in the last 24 hours to hit $3,263 during intraday trading, according to CoinMarketCap

The merge is expected to be a game-changer

The much-anticipated merge slated for Q2 of 2022 will serve as the biggest software upgrade in the Ethereum ecosystem. It will prompt a transition from the current proof of work (PoW) to a proof of stake (PoS) framework, deemed more environmentally friendly and cost-effective.

Market analyst Lark Davis expects the merge to prompt a supply growth rate of -2.8% in the ETH network. He explained:

“At -2.8% supply growth a year post Merge, Ethereum will see about 3.3 million ETH a year burned. By the end of the decade total ETH supply will drop under 100 million. Or put another way, we will burn the equivalent of ALL ETH currently sitting on exchanges.”

Source: Glassnode

A previous study by LuckyHash noted that the merge would trigger a 1% annual deflation rate.

Therefore, the merge is viewed as a game-changer that will boost Ethereum as a deflationary asset, given that the London Hardfork or EIP 1559 upgrade already set the ball rolling.

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