Want Bitcoin's Price to go up? Bet on People, Not Inflation

Financial uncertainty makes people do strange things.

In April 2020, people bought oil contracts, silver, and shares of companies that have no customers or revenue. This, despite massive job losses, pandemic disease, and a global economic meltdown.

Silver plays no role in modern finance and we have enough oil above ground to last six months under normal economic conditions, longer if economies stay closed. Companies that have no customers and revenue can’t make any money.Yet these same people think we’re crazy for buying bitcoin.

Prepare for a great depression or a mild downturn?

Perhaps these people know something we don’t?

Millions have lost jobs and businesses over the past two months. Economic output has fallen off a cliff. Some national currencies have started to crumble. Emerging market economies face imminent debt crises.

As fearful as people might get about the future, there’s no reason the world has to fall apart.

Big, deep, long-lasting financial crises do not come from short-term downturns in economic activity, even if those drops are significant. People are resilient and economies tend to adjust more quickly than you’d think.

Those devastating, multiyear, civilization-threatening collapses happen when “safe” assets lose their value quickly.

As long as safe assets hold up . . .

In modern economies, safe assets form the basis of all financial activities. In the U.S. and many countries, these assets include cash, residential real estate, and treasury notes.

Households, businesses, and governments create all sorts of financial arrangements based on the assumption that these assets carry relatively low risk. Countries build economies on that assumption. Banks and financiers do trillions of dollars in business on that assumption.

When that assumption fails, everything else does.

There’s a reason crashing oil prices don’t threaten the global financial system. People know it’s risky and volatile. They factor that into their decisions. Nobody will ever pool oil contracts into collateralized loan obligations. Mortgages? No problem.

Safe assets, not risky assets, screw everything up.

Take, for example, the last three big global economic catastrophes—2008, 1929, and 1873.

What caused the 2008 crisis? U.S. housing market crashed.

In 1929, it was U.S. and British stocks. In 1873, it was railroads and gold.

At the time, people saw these assets as sure bets, assets that could never fail. Then, those assets failed. All hell broke loose.

Outside of those three events, we have had many economic downturns and plenty of regional financial crises. Terrible events that nobody should ever want to live through, but none of them threatened the global economic order.

You can have pain, hardship, and turmoil without systemic failure. People suffer, then recover. Life goes on.

Contrary to popular belief, most economic pullbacks last about a year or so. Yes, they can last longer, but they usually don’t.

Also keep in mind, none of those previous pullbacks were confronted with a massive, coordinated global financial intervention at the beginning.

We have many people trying to save the financial system. What makes you so sure they won’t succeed?

And this matters for bitcoin because . . . ?

Perception is reality.

Some look at crumbling financial markets and a big drop in economic activity, combined with massive government intervention, and conclude we’re going to get hyper-inflation and a global depression.

Others look at crumbling financial markets and a big drop in economic activity, combined with massive government intervention, and conclude we’re going to get a modest recession and relatively fast recovery.

They can’t both be right.

If you’re buying bitcoin because you expect “fiat” to go to zero, or the U.S. dollar to collapse, how different are you from the people buying silver, oil contracts, and junk stocks?

What if we never get inflation, much less hyperinflation? What if the financial system survives? Will people want bitcoin once the BRRRR meme dies out?

The opt-out moment is coming

If all you care about is the price of bitcoin, don’t bet on inflation that may never come or an economic crisis that may end within the next year.

Bet on people.

Specifically, two types of people: the rich and the angry.

Rich people like Paul Tudor Jones, who bought a little bitcoin to protect his wealth from the devaluation of all the world’s currencies.

Angry people like your uncle who gets pissed about huge corporations using loopholes to pocket taxpayer-funded bailouts at the public’s expense.

Imagine you spent decades building a nest egg, pension fund, or endowment, only to see the government drive yields down. Or, built a career or business hurt by COVID-19, only to see your government throw an unlimited amount of cash at banks and corporations while giving you a $1,200 check, a restructured loan that barely covers your needs, or nothing.

You might get so mad that you look for an “out” that doesn’t involve the banks, governments, and corporations.

There are many people like you.

Instead of buying stocks or taking out loans, they may switch to DeFi platforms while adding bitcoin or some other cryptocurrency as a portfolio asset. Entrepreneurs may create their own cryptocurrencies or blockchain businesses instead of kissing up to Wall Street or begging for money from venture capitalists.

They may ditch the legacy system.

It doesn’t need to be better, it just needs to work

Am I saying today’s cryptocurrency industry can support the world’s financial needs?

No.

Still, the technology has come far enough.

Some businesses already use cryptocurrency as part of their services to customers. Lightning Labs is developing a payment platform that can compete with Visa. Bakkt raised $300 million to launch merchant services that integrate with its global cryptocurrency marketplace.

Microsoft is developing a decentralized ID product using bitcoin’s blockchain. Earlier this year, Ernst & Young unveiled its Baseline protocol for private business transactions on the ethereum blockchain. IBM still has World Wire. Some national currencies now have stablecoins.

Lots of smaller projects and developers continue working on better platforms and infrastructure. And, of course, some altcoins now offer real utility.

Crypto wins no matter what happens?

With cryptocurrency, you can program all rules, protocols, and governance into the blockchain. As long as the math works, the system will work.

As a result, you can safely transact with millions of people who you have never met, with whom you have no relationship, who live in a country with different laws and regulations. No government needed, no banks necessary, and no Wall Street firm getting in your way.

In fact, none of those entities can stop you.

When the global economy recovers, governments may have just planted the seeds for a massive migration of money and talent into cryptocurrency.

It won’t come from debt problems or currency devaluations. It’ll come from people opting out of the system.

If you’re betting on one thing to get bitcoin “to the moon,” don’t bet on inflation or global depression.

Bet on people.

Image via Shutterstock

Bitcoin Adoption is the Ultimate Protest Against Government and State Abuse of Freedoms

As protests break out across the globe against state and central authorities, are the protesters overlooking their best and most potent weapon in Bitcoin?

The world is in an unprecedented state of upheaval as protests continue to break out in different geographies across the globe. As the global COVID lockdown eased, the problems we were facing before quickly rose to the surface.

In Hong Kong, the people once again rose in protest of China, as Beijing quickly and controversially passed the National Security Law while effectively bypassing Hong Kong’s legal process. In the US, the people protest against systemic racial injustice and perceived abuses of power in their own government, as George Floyd, a man who had given himself over without resistance was publicly smothered to death by law enforcement officers sworn to protect him.

While free protest should be a human right and a freedom to be preserved—which Hong Kong is desperately trying to do—the protests in both countries have often descended into violence. As the violence in each incident escalates, it allows the authoritarian controls to react with more extreme measures. Protesters will claim the police escalated the violence, the police will argue the opposite and the violence increases.

The protesters in both the US and Hong Kong are fundamentally fed up with the abuse of authority that continues to pervade our modern society on a global scale. However, there is a way to end central controls without ever risking bloodshed or violence. That way is Bitcoin.

Bitcoin in essence, was built for protest and could potentially destabilize and displace the central source of power for our governments—their control over traditional financial systems and monetary issuance.

Monetary Enslavement

Bitcoin was created over 11 years ago in the wake of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, as a mean to directly negate the fiscal consequences of that period, and by extension the recent financial crisis which kicked off in March 2020 with the COVID disruption to manufacturing and supply chains as well as an ill-timed oil price war.

The fall in domestic and global growth since the pandemic began, has seen monetary authorities like the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve System shell out billions of dollars in commercial bailouts and trillions of dollars in economic stimulus, which could bring on global hyperinflation similar to that being experienced in Venezuela.

The reality is our reliance on traditional finance systems and the central authorities that control them appears to be misplaced. Since World War II  the dissolution of the Bretton Woods agreement and the rise of the Petro-dollar have ensured that the US dollar remains as the defacto global currency—which continues to dictate the rise and fall of the world’s wealth.

As one of France’s former Presidents said, in a 1965 address to his nation, “We consider it necessary that international trade be established as it was the case before the great tragedies of the world, on an indisputable monetary base and one that does not bear the mark of any particular country.”

Bitcoin by design is a digital currency that is completely independent of any government and its established financial system. If Bitcoin were to be accepted as a global currency it would strip governments of their power to create more money. It has a maximum supply of 21 million units and a built in anti-inflationary mechanism that protects Bitcoin holders from the risky monetary policies currently being implemented by central banks.

Global Currency For A Global World

What is currency and what gives it value? Throughout history, the vast majority of global trade was initially tied to gold. Gold is a commodity that was free from political ideology and has maintained a stable value relative to goods and services for thousands of years. Fiat and traditional currencies do have an agenda, however, and is of a very different nature to Gold—by design a nation’s own fiat currency is created to establish forms of power over its sovereign state and citizens and as well as in trade negotiations with other nations. As mentioned above, none are able to exert as much power as the US in this regard, but China is fast catching up with the development of the Belt and Road initiative, which will effectively see them grow in influence and control of neighbouring developing countries through Eurasia that have borrowed heavily from China to digitize their nations and supply chains.  

Along with these tightening controls, there is a prevailing sentiment among people across the world that the elite who control the governments and the financial system and the private banks and corporations, engage in the printing of funds in an effort to prop up the inefficient and inherently corrupt business practices of corporations and the bill eventually falls the ordinary citizens.

Bitcoin Could Destroy the Money Machine

Why should any government have control over our personal money? Yes government’s provide services like infrastructure, schools and healthcare, but if the government were a corporation we paid to provide these services, does that mean they should have control over our bank accounts?

As the policies of the US have continued to exert invasive monetary control over countries and its own citizens post World War II, experts and academics have long predicted and argued for the emergence of another revolutionary financial system.

Nobel-prize winning economist Friedrich Hayek was quoted in 1984: “I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of the hands of government: all we can do is, by some sly roundabout way, introduce something that they can’t stop.”

Hayek was arguing that money should not be politicized. Personal wealth accumulated by a private citizen should not be impacted by the decisions of your government but they do. Whether your government chooses to start a war, issue an economic bailout or make a bad oil trade agreement, your money should remain intact and remain valuable outside of political agendas. However, money backed only by the authority of governments jeopardizes its value and from history as their only strategy tends to be to prevent the erosion of value through inflation.

Bitcoin creates real accountability. A money supply tied to Bitcoin would be able to show citizens a transparent account of where their funds and taxes are going. Did they go to war or to strengthen police powers? Did they go to education, healthcare and other necessities for the ordinary citizen?

Bitcoin’s decentralization and peer-to-peer transactions could allow all of us to opt out of the current financial system. We could take the power away from the central authorities by simply no longer playing the game.

For the protestors around the world, there is a way to take power from those who abuse it and no one has to get hurt and not one fire needs to be lit. A path to real financial and monetary freedom exists in Bitcoin. With so many mobilized and acting as one against their governments, now may be a better time than ever to refocus their efforts on the foundations of the enemies base and take out their most powerful weapon, their money.

Binance to Remove ALCX, FOR, LOOM, NMR, PEOPLE, PUNDIX, SPELL, STORJ from BUSD Trading Pairs on August 25, 2023

On 2023-08-23, Binance, one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges, made an official announcement regarding the removal of specific spot trading pairs. Effective from 2023-08-25 at 03:00 (UTC), the following spot pairs will no longer be available for trading on the platform: ALCX/BUSD, FOR/BUSD, LOOM/BUSD, NMR/BUSD, PEOPLE/BUSD, PUNDIX/BUSD, SPELL/BUSD, and STORJ/BUSD.

However, Binance has clarified that users can continue to trade these assets using other available trading pairs on their platform.

In addition to the removal of these spot pairs, Binance will also discontinue the Trading Bots services for these pairs. The termination will take effect at the same time as the removal of the spot pairs, i.e., 2023-08-25 at 03:00 (UTC). Binance has strongly advised its users to either update or cancel their Trading Bots associated with these pairs to prevent any potential losses.

For any discrepancies between translated versions of this announcement and the original English version, Binance has stated that the English version will take precedence.

The Binance Team expressed gratitude to its users for their continued support.Recent Binance Removals

SOLBUSD Perpetual Contract Adjustments (August 21, 2023): Binance Futures announced the delisting of the USDⓈ-M SOLBUSD Perpetual Contract, effective from August 28, 2023, at 09:00 (UTC). Prior to this, leverage and margin tiers were adjusted on August 21, 2023, at 12:30 (UTC).

LTCBUSD and DOGEBUSD Perpetual Contracts Adjustments (August 17, 2023): Binance Futures revealed changes to the USDⓈ-M LTCBUSD and DOGEBUSD Perpetual Contracts. All positions on these contracts were set to be closed by August 24, 2023, at 09:00 (UTC), followed by delisting. Leverage and margin tiers for both contracts were adjusted on August 17, 2023, at 12:30 (UTC).

Spot Trading Pairs Removal (August 16, 2023): Binance discontinued several spot trading pairs, effective from August 18, 2023, at 03:00 (UTC). Affected pairs included CKB/BUSD, FARM/BUSD, ORN/BUSD, and others.

Margin Pairs Delisting (August 16, 2023): Binance Margin announced the delisting of several cross margin and isolated margin pairs, including EPX/BUSD, GAL/BUSD, and GMX/BUSD, effective from August 24, 2023, at 06:00 (UTC).

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